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Jun 2020
2:55pm, 8 Jun 2020
17,651 posts
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EvilPixie
only 55 deaths in England and 0 in London.
Sounds great
Then you remember the weekend lag we always have
oh and that Scotland has had 0 deaths in the whole country for 2 days
and that NZ is totally out of lockdown .....
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Jun 2020
2:57pm, 8 Jun 2020
35,118 posts
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HappyG(rrr)
The bit I don't get is, if only 10% of people have had it, without either a vaccine or a immediate quarantining of anyone who gets it (i.e. a robust track and trace) how is it NOT going to go through the whole population? i.e. 10 x as many people?
And unless it's got all the vulnerable people first time round how is that not going to result in 10 x as many deaths?
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Jun 2020
3:01pm, 8 Jun 2020
37,605 posts
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LindsD
That's what I also don't understand, HappyG
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Jun 2020
3:03pm, 8 Jun 2020
16,656 posts
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Bazoaxe
I guess it’s because we don’t go fully back to normal. As many of us as possible working from home and not on public transport.
Some form Of distancing in place On riskier places.
People choosing not to do certain things. Probably means many businesses that are allowed to open find they have fewer punters though
So the aim will be to manage the spread at a level we can cope with.
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Jun 2020
3:04pm, 8 Jun 2020
35,122 posts
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HappyG(rrr)
That will be v. hard for UK to take if it looks at e.g. New Zealand and sees normality returned. Today.  G
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Jun 2020
3:07pm, 8 Jun 2020
16,657 posts
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Bazoaxe
If we want to get to NZ levels we need lockdown for longer and to close borders until we get down to virtually zero. That’s not likely to be possible.
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Jun 2020
3:13pm, 8 Jun 2020
10,345 posts
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geordiegirl
Numbers are always lower over weekend and into Monday but they are getting lower every week it has to be a good sign but the weekend of protests I fear will cause that spike to come. Just have to hope and pray it isn’t going to put us back 10 weeks.
Out walking we often say it would be fab to pop to the pub for a pint. We go to our local most weeks to see friends, yesterday as it was allowed we had them in our garden (wrapped up for winter it was freezing) and we had a fab night. We did say the chances of us going back to a pub is low we are more than happy to take turns visiting each other’s gardens and hoping by winter we can have people in the house
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Jun 2020
3:16pm, 8 Jun 2020
11,218 posts
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larkim
I do wonder how many businesses are going to find longer term revenue impacts hitting them - e.g. gg not heading to the pub for a social, I've got hair clippers so can't see the need to go to a barbers again (or at least, not as frequently). I feel a little bad about that as the local barbers clearly needs people like me to keep ticking over.
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Jun 2020
3:18pm, 8 Jun 2020
503 posts
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Non-runner
On possible second spikes, shouldn’t the impacts from VE Day and the May bank holidays be coming through any time soon?
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Jun 2020
3:20pm, 8 Jun 2020
17,652 posts
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EvilPixie
NR I believe that they expect infections to increase within 2 weeks and deaths 2 weeks after that so with VE day being the 8th then yes that should be "here" now with bank holiday hitting this week or so
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