Garmin

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SPR
19 Sep
10:55am, 19 Sep 2024
46,171 posts
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SPR
It's still you, it's just telling you how it reads your capability.

If fairly accurate, it could even serve at a starting pace cap. If my watch had predicted something more reasonable than circa 1:25 for HM last year, I might have used it for that. Of course I might have still got sucked in by something faster. I think 78 was a reasonable target but I started thinking about 76 but hadn't done the training to hold that pace. I did an 8 mile training run at 77 min pace 18 days before though and that got me thinking greedily, lol. McMillan predicted 1:16:43 from my 3000 that year.
19 Sep
10:58am, 19 Sep 2024
4,023 posts
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Big_G
Yes, I agree with what you’re saying SPR. Larkim, if it was accurate, it would be a useful datapoint amongst all the other data points you probably pore over :) A bit like when looking at weather forecast apps - look at 4 and then choose the most appropriate one :)
19 Sep
11:02am, 19 Sep 2024
25,639 posts
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larkim
Yes, agree with that. It's a bit too "black box" for me at the moment though. Let me play around with how the various inputs are working towards the output and perhaps I could engage with it better.
19 Sep
11:11am, 19 Sep 2024
1,493 posts
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Sam Jelfs
Interesting issue with my watch this morning, it decided that I had a route loaded with 50,000m of elevation. Strange that it shows right on Garmin connect.

19 Sep
11:28am, 19 Sep 2024
17,541 posts
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chunkywizard
Hi SPR,

here's my predictor for the last 4 weeks. It doesn't show the same step as yours but it is trending upwards!

SPR
19 Sep
11:38am, 19 Sep 2024
46,172 posts
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SPR
@chunkyblizzard probably worth checking if you have the right update in System - About and via the Garmin forum to confirm the update version number for your model.

I imagine for some people the update didn't change anything though if the calculation change still somehow produced the same result.
19 Sep
11:59am, 19 Sep 2024
20,809 posts
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Gooner
Mine has a distinct shift to being slower on all distances recently which is definitely closer to real world best efforts but still not close enough fore to take seriously
19 Sep
1:34pm, 19 Sep 2024
17,542 posts
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chunkywizard
Yep, just checked, I'm on the latest, 20.29
19 Sep
4:02pm, 19 Sep 2024
4,565 posts
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NordRunner
I forced an update on the Epix this morning. I just noticed my one race has disappeared from the watch calendar, with the effect that the daily suggestion would not be geared to the race. Grr! Luckily, if you go to the calendar entry on the app you can send it to the watch and resync and then it appears again. As for the predictions, I have seen no change.
SPR
19 Sep
4:33pm, 19 Sep 2024
46,174 posts
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SPR
chunkyblizzard wrote:Yep, just checked, I'm on the latest, 20.29


So you're someone where nothing changed. It would be nice to have more details on the change.

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