19 Jun
6:04pm, 19 Jun 2024
86 posts
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Yakima Canutt
By all accounts, if you believe the papers, a significant proportion of the the ultra high net worth and globally mobile population in the UK are leaving so that group of voters (and the potential tax take that can come from them) is getting smaller. That would mean those that stay are logically going to be a higher percentage labour supporters. From a voting perspective a billionaire and a person on average wage have one vote each so I'm sure Labour policies are not based on that small group. Or am I just staying the bloody obvious. |
19 Jun
6:05pm, 19 Jun 2024
22,468 posts
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rf_fozzy
"I can't remember any recent election producing such massive differences in figures before." That's because they're not all doing the same thing - some are not adjusting for DKs, some are "Squeezing" DKs and some are forecasting DKs. Within each of those 3 groups, the range is actually quite narrow. YouGov changed from a not adjusting (nowcast) to an allocated (forecast) model half way through - which is problematic. |
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19 Jun
6:12pm, 19 Jun 2024
22,469 posts
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rf_fozzy
See here: nitter.poast.org
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19 Jun
6:18pm, 19 Jun 2024
22,470 posts
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rf_fozzy
Just for reference too, MiC is the most favourable for the Tories, which is a 1997 defeat. Savanta is, as you point out, now one of the most favourable for Labour and are predicting 53 seats for the Tories. That's the range. (#engage smug mode) 100+/-15 is about the midpoint (#end smug mode). |
19 Jun
6:44pm, 19 Jun 2024
32,555 posts
|
macca 53
Yakima Canutt wrote: By all accounts, if you believe the papers, a significant proportion of the the ultra high net worth and globally mobile population in the UK are leaving so that group of voters (and the potential tax take that can come from them) is getting smaller Does that cohort actually pay tax? Anywhere? |
19 Jun
6:44pm, 19 Jun 2024
11,263 posts
|
Fields
Fozzy you would have very few employment rights were it not for the battles your brotherly ancestors fought for. Yet you seem determined to attack unions whenever you can. I wonder where your solidarity is. Admit it, you’re boss class, so it’s in your interest to do them down. |
19 Jun
6:45pm, 19 Jun 2024
5,337 posts
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paulcook
richmac wrote: The gambling commission, according to the Guardian, are asking book makers to look at all large bets placed against the date. I'm thinking it's a can of worms here, for the Tories that is Police have arrested one of their own, but more importantly one of Sunak's close protection team. |
19 Jun
6:54pm, 19 Jun 2024
20,031 posts
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Dave W
The officer was arrested on Monday on suspicion of misconduct in public office, the Metropolitan police said in a statement So my question is why wasn’t Craig Williams (no relation I hasten to add) arrested for the same offence. |
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19 Jun
7:07pm, 19 Jun 2024
5,338 posts
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paulcook
Good question. I've checked the law and both police and MPs are covered. Which should answer the previous question of whether Williams had done something morally or legally wrong. |
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19 Jun
7:12pm, 19 Jun 2024
22,471 posts
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rf_fozzy
Worth considering w/regards MiC MRP: nitter.poast.org
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