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Dec 2019
5:55pm, 3 Dec 2019
9,272 posts
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rf_fozzy
I honestly don't know what the result is going to be.
If pushed, I'd estimate that a small CON majority is most likely, but that could quite easily not happen.
I do doubt a LAB majority.
There is some evidence of narrowing at the polls, which seems to be undecided LAB voters -> LAB, but not definitively so.
We also don't know if the polls have missed something. Have they weighted voter turnout correctly??
I wouldn't trust any of the MRP models.
There will be evidence of herding and hedging from the pollsters by the end of the week I expect.
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Dec 2019
6:02pm, 3 Dec 2019
734 posts
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Ally-C
Would take a miracle for a Labour majority. The SNP will take at least 40 seats in Scotland I reckon.
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Dec 2019
6:08pm, 3 Dec 2019
22,947 posts
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Johnny Blaze
I have hope, but it is dwindling. People have seen the lies, the cruelty, the incompetence and the foolishness of the Tories for the last 9 years and they are saying, "Yeah, let's have some more of that."
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Dec 2019
7:43pm, 3 Dec 2019
8,289 posts
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simbil
BoJo and team have pulled off the "new management" ruse and will not be held accountable for those that went before them. A largely sympathetic media and a hostile takeover of the party goes a long way it seems when it come to re-branding.
It does beggar belief that people will vote for a serial liar though - nobody really knows what we will get if and when the New Tories gets a majority. I'd put down money that what we get will be nothing good for swathes of the population.
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Dec 2019
7:51pm, 3 Dec 2019
36,304 posts
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Derby Tup
Medium sized majority for the Conservatives isn’t prediction. Corbyn is toxic for too many folk
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Dec 2019
8:12pm, 3 Dec 2019
10,777 posts
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NDWDave
Betfair has it 66% chance of conservative maj. 5% chance of labour having most seats
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Dec 2019
8:14pm, 3 Dec 2019
1,764 posts
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I saw mummy kissing Pothunter
How much would Corbyn need to lose by in order for the Labour Party to replace him as leader?
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Dec 2019
8:22pm, 3 Dec 2019
10,778 posts
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NDWDave
Sporting index had 341 as the mid points for cons seats as the spread. 219 lab 45 snp 20 ld
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Dec 2019
8:25pm, 3 Dec 2019
20,122 posts
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TRO Saracen
Corbyn will go after any defeat. They’ll blame the MSM making Corbyn toxic and hope the next cab off the rank can fare better with the same basic policies.
The cult continues.....
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Dec 2019
8:29pm, 3 Dec 2019
36,307 posts
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Derby Tup
Corbyn will lose and will go
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Fantasy General Election
Jul 2024
