VLM 2016 Ballot

29 watchers

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Hackett May 2015 9:38am, 7 May 2015 2,238 posts	0 Hackett Entered Mon AM - HAPPY LOSERS MAGAZINE DAY - OCT
Rosehip May 2015 10:28am, 7 May 2015 4,891 posts	0 Rosehip "It's not easy to get into the London Marathon. Actually, this race is among the most difficult to land a bib. Every year 120,000 runners apply for the ballot. Roughly 50,000 numbers are provided - about 25,000 via the UK ballot, another 20,000 via charities and the remaining 5,000 for overseas runners, qualified runners, sponsors etc." from a quick google the above came from a German page. can't see any official info on the vmlm website
Nelly May 2015 10:45am, 7 May 2015 2,492 posts	0 Nelly But that ignores EA club places, London boroughs places etc, and the estimate of only 5k places for GFA and championship alone seems very low ... I'd suggest this is a bit closer to the truth, but it still omits overseas entries (both ballot and running tours etc) runningdanw.wordpress.com Personally, I think SoaPM's estimate of a 3% chance of success in the ballot will be about right this year
Bazoaxe May 2015 12:39pm, 7 May 2015 8,462 posts	0 Bazoaxe I have a 100% success rate from ballot entries...i.e. 1 from 1 and in the end I didnt need it as the GFA times once confirmed meant that I could get that place and unfortunately I had forgotten to withdraw from the ballot and naughtily deprived someone of a place
Fizz :-) May 2015 7:46pm, 7 May 2015 1,334 posts	0 Fizz :-) sad statto alert Our accounts server has been offline all day today, and given that my current role is testing an upgrade to the accounts package, I had a fairly quiet time at work, and downloaded 9,000 lines of VMLM results to do some analysis on. Someone posted a link somewhere to a VMLM press release that said there were about 52,000 "accepted entries" to this year's marathon, whatever that means. Assuming my sample is representative, I can tell you that they allocated 43,745 numbers, of which 23k were red start, 3k were green start, and 17k were blue start. Of the blue starters, I reckon 3k were international, 2k were club places, just under 1k were championship, so I'm assuming 11k were ballot places, although I don't know where the deferred places from last year start. Of the (currently) 37,587 finishers, 20k were red, 3k green, and 15k blue. Again 3k were international, 2k club places, and 1k champs, leaving 9k ballot finishers (and 2k deferring into next year?). If anyone wants more sad analysis, I guess I could subdivide further with the collective knowledge of Fetchness - post your race number and your method of entry and I'll see how it fits into my assumptions.
Bazoaxe May 2015 7:51pm, 7 May 2015 8,468 posts	0 Bazoaxe 31516 -Red FGFA
idlewild May 2015 7:54pm, 7 May 2015 338 posts	0 idlewild 29622 Red FGFA I'm curious about how many GFA entries are accepted, if it's possible to work that one out.
Fizz :-) May 2015 7:55pm, 7 May 2015 1,336 posts	0 Fizz :-) Show off I'll add those in
Bazoaxe May 2015 7:56pm, 7 May 2015 8,469 posts	0 Bazoaxe I reckon there is 2-3k on red FGFA and in fact I am sure the broichure even gave you the number range so its work outable -if only I hadnt binned the brochure. Maybe another 1k GFA on green
Fizz :-) May 2015 8:07pm, 7 May 2015 1,337 posts	0 Fizz :-) I've kept the brochure, but the start pen info is also still on the VMLM website. It didn't take too long to download the 9,000 lines at 1,000 per page, so one day soon I will download the whole lot and then I'll have the exact numbers.