Oct 2022
10:35pm, 20 Oct 2022
1,903 posts
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paulcook
Mordaunt has drifted to third in the betting, looks like she might struggle to get 100 MPs Currently standing at 33 Johnson / 33 Sunak / 14 Mordaunt According to Betfair market, it's down to only 7 in with any chance. Sunak, Johnson, Mordaunt, Wallace, Badenoch, Hunt, Braverman In that order. With the last two very little chance. Any other MP not layable at any price any more. |
Oct 2022
10:47pm, 20 Oct 2022
3,972 posts
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Bob!
Congrats to Roberto for winning our sidebar poll! How about Which 1,2, or 3 candidates will go forward on Monday at 2pm? |
Oct 2022
10:48pm, 20 Oct 2022
44,364 posts
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HappyG(rrr)
I can't believe the name of Johnson is even being uttered in the context of PM. Shame on him and the Conservative party. Taking the voting public for fools.
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Oct 2022
10:49pm, 20 Oct 2022
18,608 posts
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rf_fozzy
Was just about to post that Google spreadsheet (here with link https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1t1MaeGTmOvmOOkUL8TDDJwqTTc-N1wmRxPeRe0k3yjM/htmlview?usp=sharing&pru=AAABhBtpSkc*H_PGso0EX32h7f66FTN5Lw# ) If Johnson does get nomination/win, there's a good chance that enough MPs would resign to ensure that he no longer held a majority/confidence of the House, so would trigger a GE. |
Oct 2022
10:54pm, 20 Oct 2022
9,107 posts
|
Dooogs
Nightmare scenario: Johnson comes back, gets on the ballot, wins the Tory members vote, calls a snap GE on "Get Brexit Done II" and the electorate has a fit of amnesia...
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Oct 2022
10:54pm, 20 Oct 2022
18,609 posts
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rf_fozzy
Obviously the Moggster is backing a return for Johnson.... twitter.com |
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Oct 2022
10:56pm, 20 Oct 2022
18,610 posts
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rf_fozzy
Johnson will get the cult vote out and Leavers might vote for him, but he's damaged goods. Also highly likely he'll lose his seat at the next GE - under current polling, it's certain. |
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Oct 2022
10:57pm, 20 Oct 2022
1,904 posts
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paulcook
Nightmare scenario: Johnson comes back, gets on the ballot, wins the Tory members vote, calls a snap GE on "Get Brexit Done II" and the electorate has a fit of amnesia... More than feasible. You can so easily scoff at the idea of Johnson, but does anybody really think any other candidate might actually win? The last couple of months have destroyed their credibility and electability. I don't think Johnson will change that but I'd say he had more chance than any other candidate. Albeit, the rest would have 2 years to change the landscape. |
Oct 2022
11:00pm, 20 Oct 2022
13,599 posts
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jda
No one has two years under any realistic scenario. IMO.
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Oct 2022
11:02pm, 20 Oct 2022
18,611 posts
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rf_fozzy
Tory polling was tanking under Johnson *before* he resigned. It might recover from the current position of -36 to Lab a bit, but Johnson is *not* the Messiah. Although some may think he is. Particularly if you voted leave. |
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