Nov 2020
5:24pm, 8 Nov 2020
12,194 posts
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rf_fozzy
Some of them are worse
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Nov 2020
5:27pm, 8 Nov 2020
3,203 posts
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J2R
Mushroom said 302-305, not 306! It's all rigged! I want a recount. Everyone is saying it was 350. (Etc.) Actually, even though Biden has already won, there is a real value to his getting 306-214, because that would completely pre-empt the inevitable Trump line that Biden's win was less than his and therefore less valid. Biden's win would be the same in EC terms, but instead of being 2.5 million votes down in the popular vote, it would be 4.5 million up. So better! |
Nov 2020
5:29pm, 8 Nov 2020
2,029 posts
|
Cheg
I will await the results of the appeals before declaring my prediction wrong.
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Nov 2020
5:31pm, 8 Nov 2020
12,195 posts
|
rf_fozzy
Chris - the AZ expert says another batch for Maricopa tonight - mobile.twitter.com If my maths is correct, should be 11pm GMT. |
Nov 2020
5:35pm, 8 Nov 2020
24,052 posts
|
Johnny Blaze
I WON THE PREDICTION COMPETITION! BY A LOT!
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Nov 2020
5:35pm, 8 Nov 2020
37,602 posts
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Nellers
I WON THE AUCTION. BUY A LOT!
|
Nov 2020
5:53pm, 8 Nov 2020
16,876 posts
|
Chrisull
fozzy ok - I was using the NY Times which was saying Maricopa has 98%+ reported, where as Apache has 81% reported (everywhere else is high 80s or 90s). Interesting statistic I came across - Trump's "appeal" to the blue collar worker... is fictitious: " Trump lost voters earning under $50K by 15 points (57-42). He lost voters earning btw $50-$100K by 13. He WON voters earning over $100K by 11." |
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Nov 2020
5:56pm, 8 Nov 2020
12,196 posts
|
rf_fozzy
Apache county is quite red (but low #s) too I think. I think trump still needs ~57% of ballots in AZ. There are about 40k provisionals which will be quite D though |
Nov 2020
5:57pm, 8 Nov 2020
1,331 posts
|
mushroom
I'm happy to wait for the full count because, you know, every vote counts. And it gives me more time to draft my winner's speech 
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Nov 2020
7:38pm, 8 Nov 2020
3,204 posts
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J2R
Rookie error on my part there, forgetting to use all caps. Chris, I think I've read that that observation about Trump's "appeal" to blue collar workers isn't quite what it appears. Yes, the figures about voters by income level are correct. But if you break it down by ethnicity, you see that he is still highly supported by white voters in the lower income brackets but much less so by black and latino voters. |
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