Nov 2024
12:31pm, 5 Nov 2024
5,694 posts
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J2R
For the first time in my life, I've placed a bet at a bookies! A mere £25 on Kamala Harris to win the presidency, at 7/5. Means I get £60 back if she does, and means I'll be doubly pissed off if she doesn't.
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Nov 2024
12:36pm, 5 Nov 2024
5,695 posts
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J2R
And if I lose my £25 I'm going to blame you, @paulcook, for putting the idea in my head!
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Nov 2024
12:37pm, 5 Nov 2024
6,875 posts
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paulcook
Haha! It's value no doubt given all the other polls. It just depends if you believe the adage that "you can't eat value". Good luck!!! |
Nov 2024
12:41pm, 5 Nov 2024
23,356 posts
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rf_fozzy
Interestingly the final 538 model seems to have (just narrowly) flipped from making trump v narrow favourite to Harris being v narrow favourite because of some late polling in Michigan which looks a little better than it had been for Harris.
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Nov 2024
1:05pm, 5 Nov 2024
18,058 posts
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jda
I haven't looked in detail but have seen it said that the 538 meta-analyses are biased by including some obviously bogus pro-republican polls. I suppose it depends whether you believe there are equivalently bogus pro-democrat polls in there.
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Nov 2024
1:08pm, 5 Nov 2024
31,216 posts
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fetcheveryone
Johnny Blaze wrote: He turns on everyone eventually. He’ll never turn me on. |
Nov 2024
1:23pm, 5 Nov 2024
33,395 posts
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Johnny Blaze
😬😬😬
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Nov 2024
2:29pm, 5 Nov 2024
26,003 posts
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larkim
LindsD wrote: I missed Mastermind because I was watching.... The West Wing I caught up this morning over breakfast and was pleased with 5 scored. Kicked myself for a few missed points though. |
Nov 2024
2:32pm, 5 Nov 2024
70,780 posts
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LindsD
I may watch later
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Nov 2024
2:42pm, 5 Nov 2024
22,327 posts
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Chrisull
The first results 3-3 do 1) echo the 2012 tied Obama result and 2) this time around there were only 4 republicans and 2 indies registered. So I make that 2 indies in the Harris camp and 1 flipped republican most likely. Hopefully it's a sign of things to come, but just remember in 2016 Hilary won it 4-0.... |
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