Jun 2024
1:12pm, 28 Jun 2024
24,777 posts
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larkim
I'm not so convinced about the appetite for tactical voting. Or at least, I'm sceptical about it happening in big enough numbers. Perhaps it's because I'm isolated from any campaigns which would benefit from it iny locality. It's really easy to see where tactical voting could/should make a difference, but the numbers really need to be well organised for it to be impactful. Some of the websites with their constituency predictions don't help either, because they are so generalised that they don't really give a clear line of sight as to whether tactical voting either will happen or indeed needs to happen. Fingers crossed though!! |
Jun 2024
1:23pm, 28 Jun 2024
32,604 posts
|
Johnny Blaze
If the LD become HM Opposition that’s a huge deal.
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Jun 2024
1:30pm, 28 Jun 2024
26,947 posts
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Bazoaxe
Tactical voting has become quite a thing in scotland, either for pro or anti independence The seat I live in has historically been tory, but as that became unacceptable here, has become Lib Dem, but with SNP being closest 2nd, and taking the seat at holyrood on occassion I used to vote labour knowing it was a wasted vote, have voted tactically for a while but am considering going back to a wasted vote this time |
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Jun 2024
1:32pm, 28 Jun 2024
24,778 posts
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larkim
Would be seismic. But won't happen, too many shy Tories etc really make that happen. Labour may still struggle to get much over 400 seats, with fragile majorities in many. LDs will fall short of overturning Tories because Reform votes will swing back a little once people are actually in the voting booth, or because much trailed tactical voting delivers insufficient numbers to make enough difference. Tories end up on 120-140 seats, LDs on a good chunk, but no opposition for them.
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Jun 2024
1:37pm, 28 Jun 2024
32,605 posts
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Johnny Blaze
The Economist megapoll is saying 76 seats for the Tories and a 280 seat majority for Labour. I think Labour will need an overflow bench or two on the other side of the House if that happens. 450+ vs 76. It hardly seems fair. 🤣🤣🤣 |
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Jun 2024
1:38pm, 28 Jun 2024
24,779 posts
|
larkim
(Happy for that to be me being pessimistic!)
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Jun 2024
1:55pm, 28 Jun 2024
21,307 posts
|
Cerrertonia
PA News produces a list for local media with expected results timing: uk.news.yahoo.com Basildon & Billericay at 12:15 might be a good marker - a 20K+ Conservative majority last time round, but expected to go to Labour due to the effects of Reform. If the Conservatives hold on there, they may end up closer to 200 seats. Broxbourne, also around that time, also had a 20K+ majority but is expected to stay Conservative - if they lose that, they're probably on course for under 50 seats. |
Jun 2024
1:56pm, 28 Jun 2024
28,195 posts
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richmac
LD as opposition would be huge and I'd welcome it.
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Jun 2024
2:32pm, 28 Jun 2024
24,786 posts
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larkim
An important graphic of voting intention by "pub drink". |
Jun 2024
2:33pm, 28 Jun 2024
32,584 posts
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macca 53
paulcook wrote: Anyway, on the most pressing matter, who is better at golf?! Trump has never been beaten by anyone (not even Tiger Woods) at golf 😂 |
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