Jun 2024
6:32pm, 18 Jun 2024
5,809 posts
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Ally-C
Musk hasn’t helped the situation with all these right wing grifters tbh, I see Hopkins is embarrassing herself again too.
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Jun 2024
7:08pm, 18 Jun 2024
5,311 posts
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paulcook
Similar to as I said of Farage earlier, personal responsibility (or a complete lack of realising he needed to take any) needs to take a lot of the blame.
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Jun 2024
10:31pm, 18 Jun 2024
21,663 posts
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Chrisull
Ipsos using a "probability panel" to make up their MRP. Also some wavering Tories coming back to Sunak fearing a huge majority for Labour anecdotally. Between 100 and 150 looks most likely, probably at the lower end though. Interesting results like Greens winning 3 seats but losing Brighton. Some scepticism expressed by the analysts I follow, but generally they seem quite impressed by it.
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Jun 2024
10:58pm, 18 Jun 2024
8,968 posts
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Pothunter
I had a “discussion” with a self-professed EDL member in a pub one night. He was moaning about immigrants. I’d had enough to drink to challenge him and tell him that I was an immigrant too. “But you’re different” he said. “You mean white” was my reply. He stammered some response about that not being what he’d meant but seemed a bit embarrassed that he’d been caught out. My friend and I decided it was time to leave before it potentially turned nasty.
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Jun 2024
11:00pm, 18 Jun 2024
5,313 posts
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paulcook
Near record (for one day) number of new registered voters today. If they're all young first-time voters given the percentages that's half a million + extra voters more than likely voting Labour.
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Jun 2024
11:03pm, 18 Jun 2024
22,450 posts
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rf_fozzy
Don't agree with Phil on everything he says, but he's quite good on tactical voting and overall strategy stuff. (Suspect some on here might not like him ,but I think he makes some good points) Here he warns about using electoral calculus solely to base your tactical vote on. Not sure I totally agree with him, but he makes some good points |
Jun 2024
11:07pm, 18 Jun 2024
11,256 posts
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Fields
Some of these tactical voting websites seem to give inaccurate answers based on constituencies I know fairly well. Not sure really. Maybe their models aren’t as clever as actual local polling Suppose we will know in a few weeks time |
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Jun 2024
11:09pm, 18 Jun 2024
5,314 posts
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paulcook
I simply think they're backed by a certain party (or maybe different ones if different sites) and designed to get people to vote for them and so just misleading rather than inaccurate.
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Jun 2024
4:25am, 19 Jun 2024
68,546 posts
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LindsD
fantasyelection.co.uk Anyone fancy forming a league? I could do a sep thread |
Jun 2024
6:18am, 19 Jun 2024
1,035 posts
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Fenners-Reborn
Fields wrote: Some of these tactical voting websites seem to give inaccurate answers based on constituencies I know fairly well. Not sure really. Maybe their models aren’t as clever as actual local polling Suppose we will know in a few weeks time You're in the wrong job if you know better. Seriously, though. Two points: [1] A significant number of constituences have changed. Mine definitely has. [2] Any swing is difficuly to predict. |
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