Coronavirus discussion thread

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Dec 2021
9:33am, 17 Dec 2021
44,060 posts
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DingDocMerrily
larkim im not sure, and im not sure any one is sure.
90% is a big number but that 90% willl likely have only partial immunity to omicron so really not high enough for herd immunity
Dec 2021
9:34am, 17 Dec 2021
44,061 posts
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DingDocMerrily
jda got there first, he's good at that :)
Dec 2021
10:00am, 17 Dec 2021
1,251 posts
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Fields & fountain, moor & mountain
90% have the weapons to fight the last war?
Dec 2021
10:02am, 17 Dec 2021
55,479 posts
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Velocirappingpaper
Tink's had a positive LFT, awaiting PCR, and has upper respiratory symptoms. I have no symptoms and a negative LFT and will arrange a PCR but otherwise continue as normal.
Dec 2021
10:54am, 17 Dec 2021
29,793 posts
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EvilPixie
Hope Tinks is ok and you stay clear
Dec 2021
10:59am, 17 Dec 2021
68 posts
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forever
The question on antibodies and immunity is very interesting. I am seeing a few people now on their second bout of Covid. My partners daughter is 28, she had Covid in April, has had both her injections and is now quite poorly with fever, cough, aches worse than last time.
Dec 2021
11:14am, 17 Dec 2021
9,332 posts
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simbil
Fields, seeing as previous infections and vaccinations are thought to offer better protection against serious illness, then in terms of personal protection we are in a pretty good place.
The problem is the numbers game that could overwhelm the NHS - a potential very fast rise in cases giving an unknown increase in hospitalisations. Also the problem of huge numbers of people self isolating and so further stretching services.

The BBC news posted this which gives some projections for hospitalisations:

Dec 2021
11:16am, 17 Dec 2021
1,259 posts
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Fields & fountain, moor & mountain
Thanks Simbil. That graph looks scary. Even the best case scenario looks threatening and presumably would risk the NHS collapsing.
Dec 2021
11:24am, 17 Dec 2021
9,333 posts
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simbil
Best case there is half as bad as last winter, so will be a terrible strain on the NHS but not really collapsing territory. But it's too early to say really - round about the start of January is when we will see what kind of trajectory we are on.

A lot of people's behaviour seems to be cautions now which that graph does not take into account and that is something that would decrease and spread the peak (lesser but longer peak).
Dec 2021
11:32am, 17 Dec 2021
1,260 posts
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Fields & fountain, moor & mountain
Collapse I feel would be in the form of death by a thousand cuts combined with mass staff shortage.

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