Nov 2020
9:51pm, 6 Nov 2020
69,552 posts
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swittle
USA has form in welcoming its prodigal sons back into the fold, does it not?
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Nov 2020
9:54pm, 6 Nov 2020
2,405 posts
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Dave W
Philadelphia Mayor Jim Kenney has just said the President should put his "big boy pants on" and congratulate the winner
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Nov 2020
9:56pm, 6 Nov 2020
47,594 posts
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Derby Tup
Jim Kenney has a point
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Nov 2020
10:05pm, 6 Nov 2020
24,043 posts
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Johnny Blaze
He isn't an NFL player with an unfortunate incident in his back catalogue. He is a 74 year old con man and criminal with failing mental and physical health. There will be no second act.
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Nov 2020
10:07pm, 6 Nov 2020
12,169 posts
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rf_fozzy
From a right wing "source:" twitter.com "Multiple reports claim if Trump loses, he is considering launching a "Trump TV" to fight Fox News, and plans to take Sean Hannity, Tucker Carlson, Laura Ingraham and others with him." Not saying it's true, but there's definitely smoke around this one. |
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Nov 2020
10:15pm, 6 Nov 2020
12,170 posts
|
rf_fozzy
Biden now up to 4k winning margin in GA. Even with outstanding provisional, military and overseas ballots, that's unlikely to be overtaken. Seeing a *lot* of whinging about ballots arriving after election day (despite PA state law saying they have up to 3 days to arrive), but the point is, that they're not even being counted yet - they're put to one side in case the SC invalidates them. All that's being counted at the moment is ballots that arrived in time. I think "Biden Won, Trump Lost, Get over it" is in order. |
Nov 2020
10:32pm, 6 Nov 2020
3,195 posts
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J2R
Slightly less certain about everything at the moment. I'm fearing Arizona may actually go to Trump, and Georgia doesn't look solid yet. Nevada will go to Biden, but it still rests on PA for absolute certainty, and I'd rather there were another 1 or 2 in the bag.
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Nov 2020
10:40pm, 6 Nov 2020
12,172 posts
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rf_fozzy
GA ain't flipping. There are ~8k total *outstanding* military/overseas ballots (note that not all will be returned). Trump would have to win them 3:1 to overhaul Biden's total. Recounts shift totals by a few hundred max on average (the exception was the FL 2000 election where the hanging chads thing caused issues). PA is all about just increasing Biden's margin now. Nate Silver and Nate Cohn both think it can be called. Most votes in NV are Clark county (Las Vegas) which will tip towards Biden. Outstanding ballots in AZ are tipping enough to Trump to allow him to make up the ~40k he needs. There's still some upside for Biden too. Biden has won all 4. |
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Nov 2020
10:45pm, 6 Nov 2020
12,173 posts
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rf_fozzy
Btw, the experts in GA say that historically most overseas ballots tend to be civillian, not military. So, you wouldn't expect a heavy R bias. Apparently ~18k overseas/provisional ballots already counted and included in the totals. The 8k is just "requested but not receieved by election day" |
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Nov 2020
10:46pm, 6 Nov 2020
12,174 posts
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rf_fozzy
Ok, so there *are* another 5k provisional ballots too. But not all of them will be counted, and they are expected to lean Democratic (historically this is the case). |
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