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Feb 2021
12:37pm, 8 Feb 2021
13,132 posts
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rf_fozzy
I think enforcing the follow on would have either certainly resulted in an Indian win or draw at best.
And almost certainly in losing the 2nd test too
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Feb 2021
12:39pm, 8 Feb 2021
18,884 posts
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Bazoaxe
I dont think you can be certain of either fozzy....
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Feb 2021
12:40pm, 8 Feb 2021
30,154 posts
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Ocelot Spleens
That was Cook's point at the end..the consequence of a decision if it goes wrong. You dominate the test match for 4 days...declare too early and lose and then the effect that has on the team for the rest of the series.
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Feb 2021
12:41pm, 8 Feb 2021
13,133 posts
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rf_fozzy
Ok. I can say that with a certain high degree of probability that enforcing follow ons in back to back tests is statistically likely to lead to an underperformance in the 2nd test.
And I can look at England's record in the subcontinent on turning pitches chasing low totals.
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Feb 2021
12:47pm, 8 Feb 2021
18,886 posts
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Bazoaxe
I can buy that now Fozzy 
I still think forcing India to bat again in this game and the game would be almost wrapped up by now. As it stands all 3 outcomes are possible
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Feb 2021
12:59pm, 8 Feb 2021
2,594 posts
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Oscar the Grouch
100+ overs in bowlers' legs and then you ask them to bowl another 80+ immediately... or give them at least a few hours rest and overnight to recover (is the thinking)
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Feb 2021
1:01pm, 8 Feb 2021
13,134 posts
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rf_fozzy
Yeah, plus if they have to bowl first on Friday and have another 2 days in the field....
(Ok likely they'll rest Anderson and bring in Broad, but Bess and Leach will almost certainly play and probably Archer too)
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Feb 2021
1:07pm, 8 Feb 2021
18,888 posts
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Bazoaxe
It seems odd to reduce your chances of a win and taking a series lead just because it may have an impact on the next game. Could end up 2-0 down as a result.
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Feb 2021
1:08pm, 8 Feb 2021
30,155 posts
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Ocelot Spleens
They have Stokes up their sleeve as well, 6 overs only so far, that looks deliberate, he's not played much yet, 3 more tests to go.
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Feb 2021
1:11pm, 8 Feb 2021
13,136 posts
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rf_fozzy
No no no no (to Baz)
Not enforcing follow on should **increase** the chance of winning. Although I'd have declared when Buttler got out to give myself a bit more time
The win is important, but think of it more like a league game where you can gamble everything on winning a match and taking 3 pts but you lose your star centre back and half your midfield through injury and go an awful run culminating in losing 3 home matches at Anfield....
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