12:27pm
12:27pm, 6 Mar 2025
23,618 posts
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rf_fozzy
The current actions of "DOGE" and it's actors are indeed breaking US law because under the constitution they are denying funds to programmes that have been appropriated by Congress - the President can set the *direction* but not do what Musk is doing. *However* they are arguing in court that Musk is actually doing nothing and it is the agency directors giving the orders - which would be constitutionally allowed possibly - as I understand it. But they have been told to stop by various judges and the SC has not vacated the USAID case and these judgements are currently being flouted. But there is still an enormous leap to these breaches of the law and riding totally over well established constitutional principles. |
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12:30pm
12:30pm, 6 Mar 2025
23,619 posts
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rf_fozzy
It is sensible and encouraged to highlight the authoritarian policies and direction, but we are about 15 steps away from Trump proclaiming himself dictator in chief and banning all elections.
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12:42pm
12:42pm, 6 Mar 2025
33,717 posts
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Johnny Blaze
It will be interesting to see what happens if the Dems take Congress and the Senate, because more impeachments will shurely result. I also wonder how his addled brain is approaching the prospects of multiple new legal jeopardies when his term is up. But really, there's so much structurally wrong with the US now he could drop dead tomorrow and they would still be in the mire. |
12:48pm
12:48pm, 6 Mar 2025
18,550 posts
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jda
Many experts whose judgement I rate over yours disagree with you larkim.
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12:51pm
12:51pm, 6 Mar 2025
22,700 posts
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Chrisull
The Senate is going to be hard again in 2026 I believe.
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12:52pm
12:52pm, 6 Mar 2025
22,701 posts
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Chrisull
(I think the seats lost in 2024, mean that again they have to win in unfavourable states)
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1:00pm
1:00pm, 6 Mar 2025
23,620 posts
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rf_fozzy
Well I think the house is **probably** a done deal already - albeit with a small majority. But the Senate is now a stretch for Democrats. It is true that the Rs have far more senators up for reelection than the Ds, but AL, AR, IA, ID, KY, LA, ME, MT, NE, OH, OK, SC, SD, TN, WV, WY are not going to vote for a Democrat no matter what. So they've got to look at: TX, AK, ME, KS and NC for the 4 gains they need to make to hold the majority. It's unlikely TX, AK, KS will flip, so that's leaving only 2 battlegrounds they can realistically win. *Plus* they have to hold on to their seats in GA and NH which are not givens and also hold on in MI and MN where their sitting senators are retiring. The rest *should* be safe. So even in a highly optimistic scenario, the Senate would be 51-49 to the Rs. There are really very few paths for Ds to retake the Senate under the current structure without giving statehood to DC and Puerto Rico. |
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1:10pm
1:10pm, 6 Mar 2025
23,621 posts
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rf_fozzy
Chrisull wrote: (I think the seats lost in 2024, mean that again they have to win in unfavourable states) To get to 50+1, the Ds now need to win *all* the battleground states. The Rs now have a massive inbuilt advantage virtually assuring them of Senate control most of the time. |
1:16pm
1:16pm, 6 Mar 2025
26,821 posts
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larkim
jda wrote: Many experts whose judgement I rate over yours disagree with you larkim. And that is truly a fair and reasonable position to be in 
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1:18pm
1:18pm, 6 Mar 2025
5,875 posts
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J2R
rf_fozzy wrote: All of this is nonsense hysteria anyway. The focus needs to be on the damage he's doing here and now and not some wild conspiracy about what he might do in 3.5 years time. Part of the damage he and Musk are doing now is precisely this, systematically removing the guard rails that prevent him doing what he wants in 3.5 years time. |
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