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10 Jan
7:18am, 10 Jan 2025
870 posts
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gribb0
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Puzzle #579
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10 Jan
8:01am, 10 Jan 2025
44,481 posts
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Nellers
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Puzzle #579
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PBD but yes, the Monty Hall problem is a thing about people not understanding chance and probability which I'm aware of and get now I've seen them.
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10 Jan
8:02am, 10 Jan 2025
28,197 posts
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GimmeMedals
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Puzzle #579
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PBD of course.
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10 Jan
8:04am, 10 Jan 2025
44,482 posts
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Nellers
From Wikipedia:
"Suppose you're on a game show, and you're given the choice of three doors: Behind one door is a car; behind the others, goats. You pick a door, say No. 1, and the host, who knows what's behind the doors, opens another door, say No. 3, which has a goat. He then says to you, "Do you want to pick door No. 2?" Is it to your advantage to switch your choice?"
The answer is yes because your first choice had a 1 in 3 chance of being the car, but if you switch you've got a 1 in 2 chance, despite the same things being behind the same doors.
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10 Jan
8:09am, 10 Jan 2025
90,189 posts
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Diogenes
Although I understand this, I also dispute it because door 1 is equally likely to be correct, therefore you still have a 1 in 2 chance of being right if you stick with your original guess. All this tell us is, if the car is behind door 1 then you made a luckier choice with the first guess
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10 Jan
8:36am, 10 Jan 2025
44,483 posts
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Nellers
Intuitively that feels right, Dio, but the experts tell us different and who are we to argue?
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10 Jan
8:44am, 10 Jan 2025
9,214 posts
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um
Short and sharp today, although only got purple when it was all that was left.
I remember reading something about it sometime over the Christmas Break
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Puzzle #579
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With all those spoilers, I need to check it out. Back later!
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10 Jan
8:45am, 10 Jan 2025
6,713 posts
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Dillthedog
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Puzzle #579
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Fell for the same first line as others
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10 Jan
9:01am, 10 Jan 2025
25,509 posts
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Meglet
Having read up, I am aware of the purple reason but not heard it called that or had that specific set of things
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10 Jan
9:05am, 10 Jan 2025
854 posts
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Dingbat
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Puzzle #579
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PBD
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Wordle fans
Jan 2025